Bitcoin Topside Bias Vulnerable As It Continues To Struggle Below $38K


Bitcoin remained above the $36,000 support zone against the US dollar. BTC is now rising, but it may face hurdles near $37,800 and $38,000.

Bitcoin started a significant recovery wave from the $36,400 zone. The price is still trading below $38,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. A major bearish trendline is forming with resistance near $37,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (Kraken data feed). The pair needs to clear $37,800 and $38,000 to begin steady gains in the near term.

Bitcoin Price Corrects Losses

Bitcoin price started a steady decline from well above the $38,000 level. BTC traded below the $37,000 level and settled below the 100 easy moving hourly average.

However, the bulls were active above the $36,000 and $36,200 levels. A low was formed near $36,300 and the price is now correcting losses. There was a definite move above the $37,000 resistance. The price climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level from the downward move from the $39,290 swing high to $36,300 low.

Bitcoin is now consolidating near the USD 37,500 level. It is still trading below $38,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. On the upside, an initial resistance is near the USD 37,600 level.

The first major resistance is near the $37,800 zone. A major bearish trendline is also forming with resistance near $37,800 on the BTC/USD hourly chart. The trendline is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $39,290 swing high to $36,300 low.

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The 100 hourly simple moving average can also pose a hurdle near $37,800. A clear move above the trendline resistance and $38,000 could set the pace for a steady rise.

New decline in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to start a fresh rise above $38,000, it could trigger another drop. An immediate support on the downside is near the $37,000 zone.

The first major support is seen near the $36,300 zone. If there are further losses, it may be necessary to move towards the $36,000 support zone. If the bulls fail to protect $36,000, there could be a sharp drop in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Key support levels – $36,300, followed by $36,000.

Major resistance levels – $37,800, $38,000 and $39,250.

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